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2024-12-13 05:34:02

The bets on the Fed's interest rate cuts have increased substantially, driven by Morgan Stanley's blessing. With Morgan Stanley's blessing, the scale of bets on the Fed's interest rate cuts in December and January has increased significantly. The number of January and February contracts held by traders soared on Friday. Morgan Stanley strategists suggested buying the February contract in a report. "We believe that investors should prepare for the increase in the implied probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut at the FOMC meeting on January 29th," the strategist led by Matthew Hornbach said in a report. Suggested methods for this layout include buying February federal funds contracts and receiving overnight index swap rates corresponding to the January meeting, they wrote.The United States admitted that the Abrams tank failed to play its role. Among the many weapons provided by the United States to Ukraine, the M1A1 "abrams" main battle tank was once advertised as having a great impact on the war situation. However, Sullivan, Assistant to the President of the United States for National Security Affairs, admitted at the Reagan National Defense Forum held in California on December 7 that abrams's main battle tanks failed to function. (CCTV International News)The won fell more than 0.5% on Monday, approaching the bottom of 1444 won in recent days. On Monday (December 9), the won finally fell by 0.54% against the US dollar to 1430.64 won, and the intraday trading range was 1425.04-1438.42 won, continuing to approach the 1444.09 won that fell on December 3 ("curfew farce night").


Market information: US President Biden and King Abdullah of Jordan talked about the situation in Syria after the fall of the Assad regime.The won fell more than 0.5% on Monday, approaching the bottom of 1444 won in recent days. On Monday (December 9), the won finally fell by 0.54% against the US dollar to 1430.64 won, and the intraday trading range was 1425.04-1438.42 won, continuing to approach the 1444.09 won that fell on December 3 ("curfew farce night"). On Monday, South Korea's Ministry of Justice banned President Yin Xiyue from leaving the country. The ruling party of the president set up a working group to stabilize the situation, and the prosecution applied for an arrest warrant against former defense minister Jin Longxian. South Korea's main opposition party sought to pass the budget and related bills on Tuesday.The bets on the Fed's interest rate cuts have increased substantially, driven by Morgan Stanley's blessing. With Morgan Stanley's blessing, the scale of bets on the Fed's interest rate cuts in December and January has increased significantly. The number of January and February contracts held by traders soared on Friday. Morgan Stanley strategists suggested buying the February contract in a report. "We believe that investors should prepare for the increase in the implied probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut at the FOMC meeting on January 29th," the strategist led by Matthew Hornbach said in a report. Suggested methods for this layout include buying February federal funds contracts and receiving overnight index swap rates corresponding to the January meeting, they wrote.


LME copper futures closed up $110 to $9,232/ton. LME aluminum closed down 0.16 USD to 2,588 USD/ton. LME zinc futures closed up $54 to $3,126/ton. LME lead closed down $4 to $2,068/ton. LME nickel futures closed down $51 to $15,996/ton. LME tin closed up $767 to $29,918/ton. LME cobalt was flat at $24,300/ton.In November, the new york Fed's one-year inflation forecast was 2.97%, with the previous value of 2.87%.Pimco tends to reduce its holdings of longer-term US Treasury bonds. The main reason is the rising deficit. Marc Seidner and Pramol Dhawan, managing directors of Pimco, wrote in a report on Monday that they have been "reducing the allocation of longer-term bonds" and prefer short-term US Treasury bonds. As the size of US Treasury bonds soared from $17 trillion before the outbreak to nearly $29 trillion, the concern about the increase in the yield of long-term treasury bonds caused by the increase in US debt has become a flash point in the market. What investors are most worried about is the recurrence of the phenomenon of "bond self-defense forces" in the 1980s and early 1990s, that is, some bondholders aggressively sold US Treasury bonds because of the huge government financial expenditure. Seidner and Dhawan wrote, "It is difficult to predict the sudden reaction of the market to long-term trends. No organized self-defense force is prepared to take action on a specific debt threshold, and changes in investor behavior usually occur over time. " Pimco said that in view of the sustainability of US debt and the impact of potential inflation catalysts on the labor force, the institution hesitated to buy long-term debt.

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